Muro vs UD Alzira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
YEC
3 - 0
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 4
YEC
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
PBO
65%
21%
14%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
PBO
1 - 1
MUR
27%
24%
50%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MUR
4 - 1
ACE
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
SAR
1 - 1
ALZ
35%
29%
36%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ALZ
0 - 1
SAR
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
REQ
2 - 2
ALZ
20%
27%
53%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ALZ
1 - 0
VIL
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CRE
3 - 1
ALZ
28%
29%
43%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |