Muro vs Alberic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+303%
+106%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ENG
0 - 2
MUR
19%
23%
58%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
MUR
2 - 1
TAV
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
CUL
2 - 2
MUR
25%
24%
51%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 2
ONT
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ALG
1 - 0
MUR
26%
25%
49%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 1
REC
73%
18%
10%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 0
CAS
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ENG
1 - 2
ALB
17%
22%
61%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ALB
2 - 0
TAV
62%
22%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CUL
0 - 2
ALB
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |