Murici vs Miguelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
CSE
0 - 2
MUR
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
CRZ
3 - 0
MUR
89%
9%
2%
|
45 | 85 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
CRZ
6%
17%
77%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 1
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
ASA
1 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Miguelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MIG
0 - 2
CEO
10%
16%
73%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 1
MIG
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
MIG
1 - 4
CRB
5%
12%
83%
|
12 | 64 | 52 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
MIG
1 - 1
MUR
10%
16%
74%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | +3 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
COR
0 - 1
MIG
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 48 | 41 | +2 |