Murici vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
27.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
IPA
2 - 1
MUR
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 1
IPA
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 1
CEO
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 0
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 1
COR
39%
27%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CSA
0 - 1
CRB
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CRB
2 - 1
CSA
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 0
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSA
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 1
CSE
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |