Mures CF vs Villafranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
74.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mures CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AZN
2 - 1
MUR
73%
16%
11%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AND
2 - 0
MUR
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 2
CLA
43%
24%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
4 - 1
MUR
78%
15%
7%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MUR
3 - 0
VAL
30%
24%
46%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Villafranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
7 - 2
CLA
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
VIL
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 0
VAL
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ANA
0 - 3
VIL
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
5 - 1
PIN
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |