Murense B vs Independiente C/r B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
21.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SRO
5 - 1
MUR
21%
20%
60%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MUR
9 - 1
SAR
74%
14%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PIG
1 - 4
MUR
15%
18%
68%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MUR
2 - 0
PAL
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LUN
2 - 4
MUR
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente C/r B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
IND
3 - 3
ESP
44%
20%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FER
1 - 3
IND
35%
20%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 3
IND
62%
18%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
IND
1 - 2
SRO
45%
20%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SAR
1 - 3
IND
41%
21%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |