Murense B vs Independiente C/r B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
AND
0 - 1
MUR
43%
22%
36%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 0
FER
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
MUR
33%
22%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MUR
3 - 2
SAR
62%
19%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ART
4 - 0
MUR
73%
14%
13%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Independiente C/r B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FER
2 - 1
IND
43%
21%
37%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
ATL
26%
20%
54%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
REC
5 - 1
IND
68%
17%
16%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
IND
2 - 3
MDS
59%
19%
22%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
POB
1 - 3
IND
24%
21%
55%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |