Mureşul Deva vs Arieşul 1907 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mureşul Deva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
UTA
1 - 0
MUR
69%
21%
10%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
JIU
1 - 1
MUR
69%
20%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 0
BIH
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ARI
1 - 1
MUR
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MUR
3 - 0
FCM
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Arieşul 1907
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
ARI
0 - 2
JIU
14%
26%
60%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
BIH
4 - 1
ARI
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
ARI
0 - 1
ARI
19%
26%
55%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
FCM
3 - 1
ARI
63%
23%
14%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ARI
0 - 2
MIN
21%
26%
54%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -2 |