Murciélagos vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
UAT
0 - 1
MUR
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 0
ALE
25%
27%
49%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
0 - 1
MUR
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 3
CIM
41%
27%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
JUA
2 - 1
MUR
63%
23%
15%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
LEO
4 - 0
CAÑ
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
UDG
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
CAF
0 - 1
CAÑ
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAÑ
1 - 3
ZAC
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
CAÑ
66%
19%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |