Murciélagos vs Atl. San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
54.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 2
TEP
13%
17%
70%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CIM
2 - 1
MUR
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
ATS
4 - 1
MUR
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
JUA
19%
26%
56%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 1
MUR
65%
22%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 0
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 1
AUR
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 2
PAC
21%
22%
57%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 0
MER
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
AUR
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |