Murciélagos vs Gavilanes Matamoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MUR
4 - 2
MON
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
LEO
1 - 3
MUR
24%
28%
49%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 0
TEM
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
NEX
2 - 1
MUR
23%
26%
50%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
MUR
3 - 0
CSI
78%
16%
6%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
REY
1 - 0
GAV
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
GAV
1 - 1
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
NAY
2 - 2
GAV
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GAV
1 - 0
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LOR
3 - 0
GAV
63%
21%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |