Murciélagos vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
REY
1 - 2
MUR
16%
25%
59%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 1
GUA
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
NAY
1 - 1
MUR
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MUR
3 - 0
CHI
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 2
MUR
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
COR
1 - 2
EST
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
REY
3 - 0
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
EST
0 - 1
GAV
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
EST
0 - 0
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |