Murciélagos vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NAY
0 - 0
MUR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 3
TEM
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 2
REY
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
MUR
8 - 2
ATL
78%
16%
6%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 2
NAY
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
DUR
4 - 1
MIN
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ATS
0 - 0
DUR
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ZAC
1 - 1
DUR
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
DUR
1 - 0
LEO
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
GAV
1 - 2
DUR
66%
22%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |