Murciélagos vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
JUA
2 - 1
MUR
63%
23%
15%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
TEP
24%
26%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
UAP
2 - 0
MUR
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
LOB
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 0
TAM
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
UAT
3 - 2
CIM
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CIM
3 - 1
UDG
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
CIM
1 - 0
TIJ
13%
20%
68%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAF
1 - 0
CIM
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
CIM
1 - 2
ZAC
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |