Murciélagos vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
JUA
2 - 1
MUR
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
ATS
2 - 0
MUR
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 2
TOR
25%
24%
52%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 2
ATS
12%
18%
70%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MER
3 - 1
MUR
77%
15%
7%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CIM
1 - 3
MZA
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SOL
0 - 1
CIM
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CIM
0 - 0
TOR
25%
26%
48%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CIM
2 - 1
REY
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CAF
0 - 4
CIM
70%
20%
10%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |