Murciélagos vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MUR
4 - 1
EST
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
TEP
1 - 1
MUR
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 0
TAM
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
REY
1 - 2
MUR
39%
25%
37%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DUR
2 - 2
MUR
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
UAP
2 - 0
CIM
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
CIM
1 - 0
UAP
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TIA
0 - 0
CIM
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
CIM
3 - 1
TIA
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CIM
4 - 0
LOR
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |