Murciélagos vs Cimarrones II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
MUR
2 - 1
EST
73%
19%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
REY
1 - 2
MUR
16%
25%
59%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 1
GUA
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
NAY
1 - 1
MUR
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MUR
3 - 0
CHI
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Cimarrones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
DUR
1 - 1
CSI
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CSI
0 - 2
REY
37%
26%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
5 - 1
CSI
60%
23%
18%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CSI
1 - 2
NAY
14%
24%
62%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
CSI
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |