Murciélagos F.C. vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos F.C.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 2
MUR
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MUR
3 - 3
GUA
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
TIJ
1 - 1
MUR
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 2
MZA
35%
26%
40%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 1
CSL
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DUR
1 - 1
CSL
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
DUR
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
DUR
1 - 2
ATL
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CSI
2 - 0
DUR
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DUR
1 - 0
TIG
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +2 |