Murchante vs Mutilvera B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
73.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDI
3 - 2
MUR
82%
13%
5%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 4
CDA
20%
22%
58%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ERR
3 - 0
MUR
84%
12%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 3
ART
8%
15%
77%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
IDO
1 - 1
MUR
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MUT
1 - 0
ALU
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 0
MUT
39%
23%
38%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MUT
2 - 2
AOI
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 3
MUT
39%
22%
39%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MUT
0 - 1
PEN
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |