Murchante vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ART
2 - 1
MUR
29%
25%
46%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
LAG
0 - 2
MUR
25%
25%
51%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 2
CAV
56%
24%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SUB
2 - 1
MUR
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
SJU
26%
28%
46%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
UDM
2 - 1
CAV
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
UDM
2 - 2
CEL
30%
24%
47%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 0
UDM
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
UDM
2 - 1
UPL
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
UPL
0 - 0
UDM
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |