Murchante vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
54.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-89%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 0
LAG
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 1
LAG
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CAV
2 - 3
MUR
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 3
SUB
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
SJU
1 - 0
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
UDM
2 - 0
VAL
82%
13%
5%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
UDM
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2013 |
CDP
0 - 2
UDM
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
UDM
5 - 1
AOI
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CDH
1 - 3
UDM
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |