Murchante vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
HUA
1 - 1
MUR
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 4
AOI
44%
28%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 2
MUR
65%
22%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
TUD
2 - 1
MUR
84%
12%
4%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 2
IZA
21%
24%
55%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SES
0 - 3
UDM
65%
21%
13%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
UDM
3 - 0
IDO
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PAM
1 - 2
UDM
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
UDM
5 - 0
LAG
72%
18%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
UDM
3 - 1
PEN
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |