Murchante vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
54%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ZAR
1 - 0
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 1
OBE
33%
27%
41%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 0
MUR
68%
20%
12%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 1
CHA
35%
27%
38%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
PAM
1 - 0
MUR
59%
22%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 1
ALU
70%
19%
11%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CAV
2 - 4
UDM
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 0
LOU
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
UDM
65%
20%
14%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 0
RIV
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |