Murchante vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
50.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
MUR
80%
14%
6%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 0
HUA
42%
27%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CDA
0 - 1
MUR
52%
25%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 1
OBE
36%
27%
37%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
IZA
3 - 1
MUR
75%
17%
8%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 0
HUA
68%
20%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CDA
1 - 1
UDM
27%
27%
46%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
UDM
0 - 1
OBE
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
IZA
2 - 1
UDM
57%
24%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
UDM
4 - 0
LOU
65%
21%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |