Murchante vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
IZA
1 - 1
MUR
44%
27%
29%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
MUR
1 - 2
HUA
59%
24%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
LAG
2 - 2
MUR
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
MUR
2 - 1
AOI
55%
25%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
TUD
0 - 1
MUR
54%
26%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
UDM
0 - 0
BUR
52%
26%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
SUB
0 - 3
UDM
22%
25%
53%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
UDM
1 - 1
CHA
62%
24%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
RIV
2 - 1
UDM
31%
26%
43%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
UDM
2 - 0
CDU
65%
22%
13%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |