Murchante vs Gares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-86%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PAM
0 - 0
MUR
47%
25%
28%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MUR
2 - 1
AVA
23%
24%
53%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CDB
0 - 1
MUR
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
2 - 1
CDC
43%
25%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
AZK
0 - 1
MUR
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
GAR
0 - 4
COR
18%
26%
56%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
HUA
4 - 0
GAR
82%
12%
5%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
GAR
0 - 1
CHA
14%
21%
65%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SUB
4 - 0
GAR
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
GAR
1 - 4
CAN
20%
24%
55%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |