Murchante vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 1
MUR
68%
19%
14%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LOU
3 - 0
MUR
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
AZK
33%
26%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
LAG
42%
26%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAV
3 - 0
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 1
AZK
56%
23%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 2
CDC
34%
25%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 2
CAV
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 0
ART
64%
20%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BET
0 - 1
CDC
43%
23%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |