Murchante vs Aoiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
MUR
36%
25%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CDC
2 - 0
MUR
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 0
INJ
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
INF
0 - 3
MUR
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 1
LOU
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AOI
1 - 1
CDC
35%
25%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
INJ
3 - 0
AOI
46%
22%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AOI
1 - 2
INF
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 2
AOI
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AOI
2 - 2
IDO
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |