Murchante vs Aoiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-86%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
COR
2 - 1
MUR
39%
26%
35%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 1
VAL
37%
28%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
SJU
3 - 1
MUR
60%
23%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALU
47%
26%
27%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CAV
1 - 3
MUR
43%
25%
33%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
AOI
1 - 3
ALU
49%
25%
26%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
CAV
0 - 2
AOI
40%
26%
35%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
AOI
1 - 1
LOU
35%
27%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
AOI
80%
14%
6%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
AOI
2 - 1
RIV
52%
26%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |