Murchante vs Aoiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-86%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 0
BUR
59%
24%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
ATL
0 - 1
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 1
HUA
40%
27%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CHA
2 - 2
MUR
59%
24%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
ZAR
1 - 1
MUR
26%
26%
48%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
OBE
1 - 0
AOI
37%
28%
35%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
AOI
1 - 0
CDA
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
SJU
0 - 0
AOI
33%
29%
38%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
AOI
0 - 0
VAL
21%
26%
53%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
RIV
1 - 0
AOI
47%
26%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |