Murchante vs Aoiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
VAL
2 - 0
MUR
76%
16%
9%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
MUR
1 - 1
RIV
61%
22%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
OBE
0 - 0
MUR
60%
23%
17%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
MUR
1 - 2
CDB
55%
25%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ART
2 - 2
MUR
42%
27%
32%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
AOI
4 - 1
LAG
62%
22%
16%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
CHA
0 - 1
AOI
31%
28%
41%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
AOI
2 - 1
ATL
43%
27%
31%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
SJU
0 - 1
AOI
37%
28%
35%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
AOI
0 - 0
PEÑ
13%
25%
62%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +2 |