Murchante vs Aoiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-86%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
MUR
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
MUR
1 - 2
BUR
44%
26%
29%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
VAL
0 - 0
MUR
71%
18%
12%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
MUR
0 - 3
CHA
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
MIR
0 - 1
MUR
58%
24%
19%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
AOI
0 - 0
SJU
38%
30%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
BOU
1 - 0
AOI
38%
27%
35%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
AOI
1 - 2
BER
45%
27%
28%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
UDL
2 - 0
AOI
69%
20%
11%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
AOI
0 - 2
ART
48%
27%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |