Murchante vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
CDB
2 - 1
MUR
46%
27%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
MUR
0 - 0
OBE
35%
27%
38%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
UDM
2 - 0
MUR
62%
24%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
MUR
2 - 1
IZA
46%
27%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
HUA
2 - 0
MUR
38%
28%
34%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ALU
1 - 3
BUR
29%
28%
44%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
SUB
3 - 3
ALU
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ALU
1 - 1
CHA
35%
28%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
RIV
2 - 0
ALU
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ALU
1 - 0
CDU
43%
26%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |