Murata vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
56.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 4
MUR
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
FOL
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
MUR
13%
21%
66%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 2
TPE
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAI
1 - 3
MUR
13%
21%
66%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 0
FOL
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
3 - 1
TFI
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 3
VIR
9%
21%
70%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 0
DOM
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
0 - 1
VIR
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |