Murata vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 1
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
4 - 1
DOM
41%
23%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 4
TFI
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -3 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 3
FOL
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 1
MUR
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 0
VIR
55%
23%
23%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 0
VIR
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 4
TPE
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -3 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 2
VIR
60%
22%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
DOM
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |