Murata vs Tre Penne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
66.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 2
FAE
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
SGI
1 - 1
MUR
30%
25%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 2
FOL
24%
23%
53%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 3
FOL
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
MUR
51%
24%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
TPE
6 - 0
DOM
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FIO
2 - 5
TPE
12%
19%
69%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
TPE
2 - 1
DOM
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
TPE
3 - 0
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 4
TPE
33%
26%
40%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |