Murata vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
TPE
1 - 1
MUR
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
MUR
2 - 1
SGI
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 1
VIR
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
FAE
1 - 1
MUR
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 0
MUR
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
TFI
0 - 3
COS
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
JUV
0 - 1
TFI
31%
27%
43%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
TFI
0 - 1
TPE
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
FIO
0 - 3
TFI
20%
24%
55%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
TFI
2 - 1
FOL
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |