Murata vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
LIB
4 - 1
MUR
48%
23%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
TPE
0 - 4
MUR
35%
25%
41%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
FAE
0 - 1
MUR
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
MUR
3 - 0
JUV
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
TFI
0 - 3
PEN
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
TFI
1 - 1
TPE
50%
24%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
COS
3 - 1
TFI
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
TFI
0 - 1
LIB
30%
23%
47%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
FOL
2 - 1
TFI
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |