Murata vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
FIO
1 - 1
MUR
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
MUR
2 - 4
COS
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
MUR
4 - 1
TFI
73%
17%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
LIB
4 - 1
MUR
48%
23%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
TPE
0 - 3
PEN
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
PEN
1 - 1
LIB
54%
23%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
TFI
0 - 3
PEN
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
PEN
1 - 1
FIO
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |