Murata vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 2
FIO
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 1
COS
69%
19%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 1
MUR
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
CAI
0 - 1
MUR
21%
23%
56%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 3
MUR
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 2
FIO
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 0
CAI
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 0
LIB
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 1
LIB
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
TPE
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |