Murata vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAI
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 0
MUR
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 1
MUR
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 0
MUR
25%
24%
52%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MUR
3 - 3
DOM
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 1
FOL
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FOL
3 - 0
CAI
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 0
MUR
25%
24%
52%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 1
SGI
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |