Murata vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
TPE
2 - 2
MUR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SGI
0 - 0
MUR
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
MUR
1 - 0
FIO
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SMA
1 - 2
MUR
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
MUR
0 - 1
FOL
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FAE
0 - 2
VIR
14%
22%
65%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FOL
1 - 1
FAE
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FAE
1 - 3
TFI
14%
22%
65%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
JUV
2 - 1
FAE
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
DOM
2 - 3
FAE
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |