Murata vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TPE
1 - 3
MUR
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SGI
1 - 1
MUR
48%
23%
29%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
MUR
3 - 2
FIO
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
FOL
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
TFI
1 - 3
MUR
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
FAE
2 - 0
DOM
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
DOM
1 - 1
VIR
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
DOM
1 - 2
FIO
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
DOM
1 - 0
TFI
30%
27%
42%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
COS
1 - 1
DOM
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |