Murata vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
LIB
3 - 0
MUR
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
3 - 2
MUR
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 1
TPE
14%
20%
66%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 2
FAE
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
SGI
1 - 1
MUR
30%
25%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COS
0 - 3
FIO
19%
23%
58%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FAE
1 - 0
COS
70%
19%
12%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
FIO
2 - 0
COS
86%
11%
3%
|
35 | 70 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
COS
1 - 1
JUV
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAI
2 - 1
COS
59%
20%
22%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |