Murata vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 0
MUR
62%
21%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 1
MUR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
4 - 1
DOM
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 1
FAE
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 4
TFI
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 0
COS
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
COS
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 4
COS
31%
24%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
COS
1 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
COS
2 - 4
JUV
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |