Murata vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
MUR
1 - 0
TFI
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
FIO
0 - 4
MUR
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
MUR
3 - 1
CAI
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
MUR
2 - 2
DOM
55%
23%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
MUR
2 - 1
FIO
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
COS
1 - 2
PEN
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
COS
0 - 3
TPE
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
COS
1 - 7
VIR
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
SGI
2 - 0
COS
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
COS
0 - 6
LIB
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |