Murata vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
DOM
2 - 1
MUR
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
VIR
1 - 2
MUR
60%
21%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
FIO
1 - 4
MUR
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
TFI
2 - 2
MUR
30%
24%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
MUR
4 - 1
TPE
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
COS
3 - 0
FIO
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
COS
0 - 1
FIO
86%
10%
3%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
JUV
2 - 3
COS
16%
23%
62%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
COS
1 - 4
PEN
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
FOL
2 - 2
COS
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |