Murata vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
MUR
4 - 1
TFI
73%
17%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
LIB
4 - 1
MUR
48%
23%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
TPE
0 - 4
MUR
35%
25%
41%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
FAE
0 - 1
MUR
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
COS
6 - 3
TPE
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
COS
3 - 2
FIO
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
COS
3 - 1
TFI
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
PEN
0 - 0
COS
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
DOM
0 - 0
COS
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |