Murata vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
FOL
2 - 1
MUR
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
MUR
3 - 3
VIR
49%
24%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
FIO
2 - 3
MUR
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
TFI
6 - 3
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
FAE
0 - 2
MUR
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
COS
0 - 0
FAE
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
COS
0 - 0
FIO
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
VIR
0 - 1
COS
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
COS
4 - 2
FOL
50%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
COS
4 - 0
TPE
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |