Murata vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
MUR
1 - 4
PEN
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
FIO
1 - 1
MUR
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
MUR
2 - 4
COS
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
MUR
4 - 1
TFI
73%
17%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
LIB
4 - 1
MUR
48%
23%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
CAI
1 - 2
FAE
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
CAI
0 - 1
DOM
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAI
15%
23%
62%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
DOM
0 - 1
CAI
50%
24%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
CAI
0 - 0
VIR
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |